Good Thursday afternoon everyone. I hope that you all had a great day at school or work or wherever else you may have been today. The weekend storm is coming, but if you love snow as much as I do this is just not the storm. It’s plain and simple: there is just not a strong enough cold air mass to our north to prevent the switchover to rain in our area. Very early Saturday morning it will all begin with some light snow. After accumulating 1 to 2 inches, the snow quickly turns over to an icy mix and then finally into rain.

Earlier model guidance, most predominantly the models displayed yesterday, predicted our area receiving anywhere from 5-8 inches of snow, and maybe even more than that. Unfortunately, this forecasted situation is truly not the case. It will rain most of the day on Saturday and then in the late afternoon or early evening hours. As the storm is pulling away and intensifying we will get some back end snow, which could accumulate another 1 to 2 inches.

So in total my snowfall forecast for this nor’easter is 2 to 4 inches. I am very disappointed in this storm because it had the potential to be our first major winter storm of the year. There is still a small (a very small) possibility that the storm will take a perfect track and we could get a little more than what I forecasted. But there is also another possibility that the storm could track even closer to the coast and we could therefore get hardly any snow. This is just not our storm. This is what you call a bust. Now we have another threat for Monday. As of right now I do not expect it to be anything significant but it is worth keeping an eye on. So once again expect 2 to 4 inches out of the storm, lots of rain and wind and then cold air behind it. If you have any questions about this storm please let me know. Have a great rest of your week.

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