Fantasy Football: Week 11 start and sit

Matt Lichtenstadter ('12)/ Eastside Fantasy Football Expert and Matt Lichtenstadter ('12)/ Eastside Fantasy Football Expert

How was your week 10? I think my picks did pretty well, and as we get towards the home stretch of the season, I hope they get even better.

NOTE: These picks do NOT include the Thursday MIA/CAR game.

Start of the Week:

QB Kurt Warner (ARZ) vs. STL:  He has been inconsistent, but is now on the consistent stretch. With him averaging about 278 yards in his last 7 against his former team, while throwing for 7 TD’s, look for his hot streak to continue.

Who to Start:

QB Matt Schaub (HOU) vs. TEN MON: The Titans pass D has been better of late, but even when the Titans were fully healthy, Schaub threw for 457 yards. In a game that could turn into a major shootout, the QB who is playing the team that allows the most fantasy points, Schaub is a great start.

RB Kevin Smith (DET) vs. CLE: In the worst game of the year, maybe the decade, that nobody will watch, Kevin Smith will put on a show. The Browns give up 157 yards a game on the ground on the road, and overall are 30th against the run.

WR Sidney Rice (MIN) vs. SEA: He’s come alive hasn’t he? After a big game last Sunday with 201 yards, he faces the Seahawks, who are pretty banged up in the secondary, and give up the 4th most fantasy points to WR’s. Watch out for Sidney Rice.

WR Lee Evans (BUF) vs. JAX: He’s knocked down a bit due to Ryan Fitzpatrick starting, but the Jags are missing their best corner, and potentially their starting strong safety, which should open things up for Evans.

TE Brent Celek vs. CHI: The Bears continue to struggle defending the Tight End, and Celek has been one of the biggest producing fantasy tight ends this season. He should continue this torrid pace Sunday night.

DEF Cincinnati vs. OAK: If you haven’t seen what the Bengals D can do, you may want to pay attention. With games against Oakland this Sunday, who is starting Bruce Gradkowski, and soon against Detroit and Cleveland, start this great D.

Who to Sit:

QB Matt Ryan (ATL) vs. NYG: He has looked more like a rookie in the past couple of weeks, and he looks to be without Michael Turner, who takes a lot of pressure off the sophomore QB. With him out, and the Giants sporting the league’s 2nd best pass D, it is best to avoid Ryan.

RB Ryan Grant (GB) vs. SF: The ‘9ers are 3rd in the league in rush D, allowing just 88 yards a game. Grant has been inconsistent this season, and the ‘9ers will make him pay for that.

WR Miles Austin (DAL) vs. WSH: He found out what it is like to be the featured target last Sunday. With Washington sporting the league’s best pass D, and the fact he’ll likely be double-covered, he should be on your bench.

WR Brandon Marshall (DEN) vs. SD: I know he is hard to sit, but with Chris Simms potentially starting, Marshall won’t see the ball that often, even though the Chargers pass D has struggled a bit.

TE Zach Miller (OAK) vs. CIN: I’m sorry. He’s a great tight end, but with only 1 good game this season, and the QB carousel spinning at Mach 4 in Oakland, Miller won’t see many targets, therefore not catching many either.

DEF Baltimore vs. IND: Defenses facing the Colts are averaging few fantasy points, and the Ravens D is slowing down and has secondary troubles.

Sleepers:

QB Aaron Rodgers (GB) vs. SF: Even though he’ll likely be on his back, the ‘9ers are still 28th in the league against the pass.

RB Pierre Thomas (NO) vs. TB: The Bucs are 31st against the run, and allow about 195 yards a game on the ground at home.

WR Santana Moss (WSH) vs. DAL: Haven’t heard his name much, but he has 41 yards in his last 4 games against Dallas.

WR Malcolm Floyd (SD) vs. DEN: With Denver’s D struggling, and Floyd seeing more targets, he should be a good sleeper option.

TE John Carlson (SEA) vs. MIN: The Vikings allow 66.2 yards a game against Tight Ends and 11 fantasy points as well.

DEF Detroit vs. CLE: In the Toilet Bowl, where the Browns anemic offense plays any defense, the D (the Lions), should start if you need a one week fix.

Waiver Wire Pick-Up(s):

RB Ricky Williams (MIA): If you haven’t already, get him. With Ronnie Brown done for the year and no Patrick Cobbs, Williams will see all the carries, and relieve some pressure for Chad Henne.

RB Justin Forsett (SEA): With Julius Jones losing favor, and the fact that Forsett is getting goal line carries, he is a great sleeper pick-up. The favorable schedule also helps him out plenty.

Good luck in week 11!